Finance Minister, Winston Jordan on Wednesday projected a 4.5 percent growth in Guyana’s economy for this year, five straight years of continuous growth compared to the Bharrat Jagdeo-led administration.
Speaking at the presentation of the 2019 mid-year report, he said this year’s growth rate has been revised again. Originally, the projection was 4.6 percent but that was adjusted downward to 4.4 percent at the time of an International Monetary Fund (IMF) evaluation.
On Wednesday, he said based on the half-year performance of 4 percent compared to the same period last year, this year’s overall growth rate is now expected to be 4.5 percent.
The Finance Minister, however, cautioned that this year’s overall projection could be hampered by poor weather and the political climate dating back to last December when the no-confidence motion was passed by the National Assembly. “Political uncertainty can have an impact in growth,” he said. Barring any disruptions in sugar and rice production, he said political action was unlikely to take a major toll on growth.
He noted that the unfavourable weather could adversely impact on agriculture and mining.
Comparing Guyana’s economic performance from 2015 when the coalition came to power, to Jagdeo’s tenure, he said growth was 3.2 percent in 2015, 3.4 in 2016, 2.1 percent in 2017, “the only bad year”, 4.1 percent in 2018 and the projected 4.5 percent in 2019.
The growth rates, he said, during Jagdeo’s tenure were 1.9 percent in 2001, 1.1 percent in 2002, -0.6 percent in 2003; 1.6 percent in 2004 and -5.5 percent in 2005.
“The picture is there. It needs no further analysis,” the Finance Minister said.
Jordan said the economic growth of 4 percent during the first half of this year was largely due to “notable expansions” in key sectors such as rice, forestry, gold, manufacturing, construction, wholesale and retail trade and financial and insurance activities.
“Investments by both businesses and households continue to trend upward, evidenced by a 5.7 percent increase in private sector credit. That was driven by significant increases in real estate mortgages as well as loans to business enterprises and individuals,” the 2019 mid-year report states.